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Canadian Dollar Weekly Outlook: USD/CAD Forecast and Market Drivers

Author avatar for Ash Abbasi
July 24, 2026
Follow the Canadian dollar this week with the latest USD/CAD rate, recent performance, major currency pair outlooks and economic events that could affect exchange rates.
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Direct answer

USD/CAD is trading near 1.4103, with a weekly change of +0.44%. The key range to watch this week is 1.4066-1.4115.

Updated

July 24, 2026

USD/CAD now

1.4103

1.3925 - 1.4256

Weekly move

+0.44%

USD/CAD moved higher last week

Monthly move

-0.91%

Medium-term trend check

Economic Events

12 events

S&P Global Services PMI (Jul)

Will the Canadian dollar rise or fall this week?

As of July 24, 2026, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4103, after moving +0.44% over the past week. The pair is currently flat, indicating whether the US dollar or Canadian dollar has held the advantage.

A lower USD/CAD rate means the Canadian dollar is strengthening against the US dollar, while a higher rate means the US dollar is gaining against CAD. The weekly direction may change as markets respond to economic data, central-bank expectations, oil prices and global risk sentiment.
Table of Contents

Canadian dollar weekly performance

Green marks positive while red marks negative weekly change. Use it to spot where momentum is shifting.

USD / CAD

Current Rate

1.4103

Weekly Change

+0.44%

EUR / CAD

Current Rate

1.6033

Weekly Change

-0.16%

GBP / CAD

Current Rate

1.8785

Weekly Change

-0.68%

CAD / JPY

Current Rate

116.18

Weekly Change

+0.50%

CAD / CNY

Current Rate

4.8014

Weekly Change

-0.46%

CAD / INR

Current Rate

68.46

Weekly Change

-0.21%

NZD / CAD

Current Rate

0.8161

Weekly Change

-0.51%

CAD / MXN

Current Rate

12.40

Weekly Change

-0.03%

CHF / CAD

Current Rate

1.7232

Weekly Change

-0.72%

CAD / AUD

Current Rate

1.0160

Weekly Change

-0.15%

https://content.mtfxgroup.com/uploads/weekly_update_1f16885b28.svg

Planning a large transfer in the upcoming week?

Talk to an FX specialist and only send money when the market moves in your favour.

Weekly Canadian dollar forecast against major currencies

See this week’s outlook, expected trading range and key market drivers for USD/CAD and other major CAD pairs.

USD flag

USD / CAD

Now 1.4103

1.39251.4256

USD / CAD forecast for next week

As of July 24, 2026, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4103 and is up for the week. The trading range for this week is 1.3925 to 1.4256. A move towards 1.4256 would make US dollars more expensive for someone converting CAD to USD, while a move towards 1.3925 would improve the relative value of the Canadian dollar. The range provides useful planning context but may shift as markets respond to economic data, central-bank expectations, oil prices and broader risk sentiment.

Expected weekly USD / CAD trading range

1.3925 - 1.4256
EUR flag

EUR / CAD

Now 1.6033

1.58491.6206
GBP flag

GBP / CAD

Now 1.8785

1.85471.8978
JPY flag

CAD / JPY

Now 116.18

114.93117.63
CNY flag

CAD / CNY

Now 4.8014

4.75054.8655
INR flag

CAD / INR

Now 68.46

67.6969.52
https://content.mtfxgroup.com/uploads/proceeds_7b08c29fc5.svg

Looking to buy US dollars at a competitive exchange rate?

Create an account and speak with an FX specialist about your transfer timing and rate options.

Upcoming USD/CAD economic events

This week’s USD/CAD economic calendar features Fed Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday, U.S. Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jun) on Monday, and U.S. CB Consumer Confidence (Jul) on Tuesday. Based on the current outlook, Fed Interest Rate Decision and Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jun) could create volatility, with stronger- or weaker-than-expected results influencing the relative performance of the Canadian and US dollars.

Across the past week, actual-versus-consensus results produced a net USD/CAD-upside signal, with 10 tracked releases favouring USD strength or CAD weakness versus 1 pointing lower. USD/CAD’s 0.44% five-day move confirms that signal. The upcoming week’s U.S. calendar will test whether that direction extends or reverses. However, the direction and extent of the move generally depend on how the data compares with market expectations.

EventImpact

S&P Global Services PMI (Jul)

Jul 24, 09:45

Medium

S&P Global Composite PMI (Jul)

Jul 24, 09:45

Medium

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul)

Jul 24, 09:45

Medium

New Home Sales (Jun)

Jul 24, 10:00

Medium

Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jun)

Jul 27, 08:30

High

BoC Market Participants Survey

Jul 27, 10:30

Medium

Goods Trade Balance (Jun)

Jul 28, 08:30

Medium

Goods Trade Balance Adv (Jun)

Jul 28, 08:30

Medium

Wholesale Inventories MoM (Jun)

Jul 28, 08:30

Medium

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY (May)

Jul 28, 09:00

Medium

CB Consumer Confidence (Jul)

Jul 28, 10:00

High

Fed Interest Rate Decision

Jul 29, 14:00

High

FAQs

What is the USD/CAD forecast for this week?

As of July 24, 2026, the USD/CAD outlook is neutral, with the pair trading at 1.4103.

 

USD/CAD has changed +0.44% over the past week and -0.91% over the past month. The weekly outlook may change as markets respond to economic data, central-bank expectations, oil prices and global risk sentiment.

Will the Canadian dollar rise or fall next week?

The current USD/CAD outlook is neutral, but short-term currency forecasts are not guarantees.

 

A fall in USD/CAD would mean the Canadian dollar is strengthening against the US dollar. A rise would mean the US dollar is gaining against CAD. Upcoming economic data, interest-rate expectations, oil prices and market sentiment could change the direction next week.

What is the Canadian dollar forecast for next week?

As of July 24, 2026, the current USD/CAD outlook is neutral. The pair is trading at 1.4103, after changing +0.44% over the last week and -0.91% over one month.

 

Next week’s direction will depend on Canadian and US economic data, central-bank policy expectations, commodity prices and global demand for the US dollar.

What is the USD/CAD exchange rate this week?

As of July 24, 2026, the USD/CAD exchange rate is 1.4103, meaning one US dollar buys approximately 1.4103 Canadian dollars.

 

The pair has moved +0.44% over the past week and -0.91% over the past month. These figures provide a clearer view of the recent trend than the current rate alone.

What range is USD/CAD trading in?

As of July 24, 2026, USD/CAD has traded between 1.4066 and 1.4115 today. The current rate of 1.4103 is positioned 75% within the daily range.

 

The daily range is 1.4066-1.4115. Weekly trading conditions may be wider as economic releases and market developments create additional volatility.

What is driving the Canadian dollar this week?

The Canadian dollar is commonly influenced by Bank of Canada expectations, Canadian economic data, oil prices, US dollar strength and global risk sentiment.

 

As of July 24, 2026, USD/CAD is flat today, with a daily move of . The current movement should be considered alongside the latest market commentary, because pricing data alone cannot identify the exact cause.

Which economic events could move the Canadian dollar this week?

Canadian inflation, employment, retail sales and GDP reports can affect expectations for Bank of Canada policy. US inflation, labour-market data, growth reports and Federal Reserve commentary can influence the US dollar and USD/CAD.

 

Oil inventory data and geopolitical developments may also affect CAD because Canada is a major energy exporter. Results that differ significantly from market expectations can lead to greater exchange-rate volatility.

How has USD/CAD performed recently?

As of July 24, 2026, USD/CAD has changed:
 

- +0.44% over the week

- -0.91% over one month

- +3.45% over one year
 

These comparisons help show whether the latest movement is part of a broader trend or a short-term fluctuation.

What does a higher or lower USD/CAD rate mean?

USD/CAD shows how many Canadian dollars are required to buy one US dollar.

 

A higher USD/CAD rate means the US dollar has strengthened relative to CAD. This generally makes US dollars more expensive for someone converting CAD to USD.

 

A lower rate means the Canadian dollar has strengthened, generally allowing a Canadian buyer to receive more US dollars for the same amount of CAD.

Is this a good week to convert CAD to USD or USD to CAD?

As of July 24, 2026, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4103. The pair has changed +0.44% over the week, -0.91% over one month and - over three months.

 

Whether the rate is favourable depends on your conversion direction, payment deadline and tolerance for further movement. A lower USD/CAD rate generally benefits someone buying US dollars, while a higher rate generally benefits someone converting USD to CAD.

What is the difference between the USD/CAD market rate and my transfer rate?

The USD/CAD market rate is a reference price used in global currency markets. The rate available for an actual transfer may differ because banks and currency providers can include an exchange-rate margin, transfer fee or both.

 

The final amount may also depend on the transfer size, payment method and any intermediary or receiving-bank fees. Compare the amount the recipient will receive rather than only the displayed market rate.

Can I set an alert or lock in a USD/CAD rate for a planned payment?

A rate alert can notify you when USD/CAD reaches a level you are monitoring, helping you follow the market without checking it continuously.

 

For an eligible future payment, a forward contract may allow you to secure an exchange rate in advance. This can make the cost of a planned property payment, tuition fee, supplier invoice or other international transfer more predictable. Availability and terms depend on the transaction.

How reliable are weekly currency forecasts?

Weekly currency forecasts are informed assessments based on current economic data, central-bank expectations, recent price behaviour and market sentiment. They are not guarantees.

 

Unexpected economic results, interest-rate announcements, geopolitical developments and sharp changes in oil prices can quickly alter the outlook. Forecasts are most useful as planning context alongside your deadline, budget and ability to manage exchange-rate movement.