USD/CAD performance is showing a mildly firmer tone, with the US dollar rate today edging modestly higher as markets return from a subdued start to the week following the Presidents’ Day holiday. With trading activity picking up, investors are now turning to Fed commentary for fresh guidance on the policy outlook, keeping the exchange rate supported but still range-bound. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is edging slightly lower but retains an underlying firm bias, as markets expect the upcoming CPI report to show sticky inflation that could reinforce hawkish Bank of Canada expectations. Unless incoming data delivers a meaningful surprise, CAD to USD is likely to remain steady, driven by relative inflation signals and central bank messaging.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention turns to a busy economic calendar, with Canadian inflation data taking centre stage on the FX calendar. Canada’s CPI release will be crucial for shaping expectations around the Bank of Canada’s next policy steps, with a sticky print likely to support the Canadian dollar today, while any downside surprise could soften the loonie’s tone. Wholesale sales will provide an additional read on domestic demand conditions. In the US, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index will offer an early signal on regional activity, influencing sentiment around the US dollar today as markets remain sensitive to shifting growth and inflation signals on both sides of the border.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautiously constructive outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today likely to be driven by Canada’s CPI release and broader inflation expectations. A firm or sticky inflation print could reinforce hawkish BoC pricing and help the loonie hold its underlying support, while a softer outcome may revive easing bets and cap gains. With wholesale sales adding context on domestic demand, the Canadian dollar is expected to remain range-bound but reactive, taking its near-term cue from inflation surprises and shifts in cross-border rate expectations.