The US dollar rate today remains under bearish pressure as investors await the CPI release, with expectations that December inflation is likely to remain broadly stable, limiting fresh USD demand for now. This has kept the near-term CAD to USD rate tilted slightly in favour of the loonie. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is finding support from rising oil prices after President Trump threatened a 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran, raising concerns over potential supply disruptions. With Canada’s building permits data next in focus, the exchange rate is likely to remain sensitive to energy markets and incoming data rather than breaking decisively out of its recent range.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
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In today’s daily FX spotlight, focus turns to a busy economic calendar, with key US and Canadian data shaping market direction. Traders will be watching US ADP Employment Change, the Inflation Rate, and New Home Sales for insight into labour conditions, price pressures, and housing momentum, all of which could influence expectations and sentiment around the US dollar today. In Canada, Building Permits will be closely monitored for signals on construction activity, with a stronger print potentially lending support to the Canadian dollar today, while any softness could leave the loonie vulnerable to USD-driven moves.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news suggests a cautious and data-dependent outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today struggling to gain traction as markets digest a heavy slate of US releases. Attention is split between US inflation, labour and housing data, which are shaping broader USD sentiment, and Canada’s building permits report for signs of domestic momentum. While higher oil prices offer some underlying support, uncertainty around the US inflation outlook is likely to keep the Canadian dollar trading defensively near recent levels unless domestic data delivers a clear upside surprise.