Forecast and Trends: Canadian Dollar Today

Understand global finance dynamics by tracking key players, like the euro, pound, and the Canadian dollar today, including monitoring the USD to CAD exchange rate, as they respond to the daily exchange rates, economic shifts, market sentiment, and international trade flows using a currency converter.

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Ash AbbasiWritten by Ash Abbasi

February 2, 2026

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Canadian Dollar News - CAD range-bound as GDP stalls, oil prices ease

The USD/CAD exchange rate is trading with a steady-to-firmer tone early in February, as the US dollar rate today finds support from calmer sentiment around Federal Reserve independence following the Kevin Warsh pick, while upcoming PMI releases are expected to shape near-term direction. This firmer USD backdrop has kept the CAD to USD rate broadly balanced rather than decisively one-sided. At the same time, the Canadian dollar rate today is edging modestly softer after November GDP stalled, with a pullback in oil prices adding pressure ahead of domestic and global PMI data. With neither side offering a clear catalyst, the exchange rate is likely to remain range-bound in the near term, sensitive to incoming growth data and energy market moves rather than breaking into a sustained trend.

Today's Global Currency Highlights

A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.

  • USD: US dollar opens February on a mildly firmer note as the Kevin Warsh pick helps calm concerns over Fed independence, PMI releases to set this week's tone.
  • CAD: Canadian dollar trades modestly softer at the start of the week after GDP stalls in November, a pullback in oil prices adds pressure ahead of PMIs.
  • EUR: Euro remains subdued, consolidates recent losses after Friday’s drop, though upward revisions to EU and German manufacturing PMIs help provide a floor.
  • GBP: Sterling eases in early trade but downside remains limited as markets expect the Bank of England to keep rates unchanged at 3.75% in upcoming meeting.
  • JPY: Yen struggles to attract fresh demand after comments from PM Takaichi on Monday praising a weaker currency pushes the JPY broadly lower.
  • AUD: Australian dollar drifts slightly lower but retains underlying strength, with markets expecting the RBA to lift its OCR by 25 bps to 4% on Tuesday.

CAD Daily Performance Against Global Currencies

PairRatesDailyRanges

Today's Economic Calendar

In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention is firmly on the economic calendar, with North American manufacturing data set to guide near-term price action. Canada’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be closely watched for signs of momentum in factory activity, with a firmer reading offering modest support to the Canadian dollar today, while ongoing softness could reinforce a cautious tone. On the US side, both the S&P Global and ISM Manufacturing PMIs sit at the top of the FX calendar, as markets assess whether resilient activity can keep the US dollar today supported amid shifting rate expectations. With key releases clustered in a single session, FX markets are likely to remain reactive to data surprises rather than settle into a clear directional trend.

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Canadian Dollar Daily Outlook

The latest Canadian dollar news suggests a measured and cautious outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today trading on a softer footing as markets digest weaker growth signals and a pullback in oil prices. With GDP momentum having stalled and PMIs now in focus, the loonie remains sensitive to incoming domestic data for signs of stabilization. Absent a clear improvement in activity or a rebound in energy markets, near-term price action is likely to remain constrained, leaving the Canadian dollar vulnerable to drifting rather than establishing a sustained recovery.

USD/CAD Daily Update

What’s the USD/CAD rate today?
On February 2, 2026, the USD/CAD pair is trading at 1.36562, representing a 0.30% move in the last 24 hours.

USD/CAD highlights
  • USD steadies as Fed confidence improves: The US dollar opens February on a mildly firmer note after the Kevin Warsh pick eases concerns over Fed independence, helping stabilise USD/CAD and steady CAD to USD flows.
  • PMIs to guide near-term USD tone: Upcoming US PMI releases will be key for confirming growth momentum, with firmer data likely to keep USD/CAD supported.
  • CAD softens after GDP stalls: The Canadian dollar trades modestly weaker following flat November GDP, leaving CAD to USD exposed to near-term pressure.
  • Oil pullback adds to CAD caution: Softer crude prices and upcoming PMIs will shape whether the loonie can stabilise or if USD/CAD retains the upper hand.

Economic news impacting USD/CAD today

  • US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI
  • Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

Daily trading range

USD/CAD pair is fluctuating within a recent 1.3600–1.3750 range and holding near the lower end of that band with a mild downward bias.

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EUR/CAD Daily Update

What’s the EUR/CAD rate today?
On February 2, 2026, the EUR/CAD pair is trading at 1.61208, representing a -0.06% move in the last 24 hours.

EUR/CAD highlights

  • Euro consolidates after recent pullback: The euro remains subdued, stabilising after Friday’s decline as markets digest recent losses, keeping EUR/CAD anchored near familiar levels.
  • Revised PMIs offer modest EUR support: Upward revisions to EU and German manufacturing PMIs are helping to put a floor under the single currency, limiting downside pressure on CAD to EUR moves.
  • EUR direction remains data-led: With sentiment still cautious, further economic updates will be key in determining whether EUR/CAD can stabilise or if renewed softness emerges.

Economic news impacting EUR/CAD today

  • ECB Bank Lending Survey (Tuesday)

Daily trading range

EUR/CAD today is fluctuating within a recent 1.6100–1.6300 range and holding near the middle of that band with a neutral-to-soft bias.

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GBP/CAD Daily Update

What’s the GBP/CAD rate today?
On February 2, 2026, the GBP/CAD pair is trading at 1.86459, representing a 0.08% move in the last 24 hours.

GBP/CAD highlights

  • Sterling edges lower in early trade: The pound softens modestly at the start of the session, though moves in GBP/CAD remain contained as selling pressure stays limited.
  • BoE expectations cap GBP downside: With markets widely expecting the Bank of England to keep rates unchanged at 3.75%, downside in the CAD to GBP rate has so far been restrained.
  • GBP direction hinges on policy signals: Ahead of the upcoming BoE meeting, any shift in guidance could influence whether GBP/CAD stabilises or reopens downside risk.

Economic news impacting GBP/CAD today

  • S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Wednesday)

Daily trading range

GBP/CAD is fluctuating within a recent 1.8600–1.8850 range and holding near the middle of that band with a mildly neutral bias.

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CAD/JPY Daily Update

What’s the CAD/JPY rate today?
On February 2, 2026, the CAD/JPY pair is trading at 113.939, representing a 0.25% move in the last 24 hours.

CAD/JPY highlights

  • Yen weakens as policy rhetoric weighs: The Japanese yen struggles to attract fresh demand after comments from PM Takaichi praising a weaker currency push JPY broadly lower, lifting CAD/JPY in early trade.
  • Political signals cap JPY appeal: Official tolerance for yen weakness continues to limit safe-haven inflows, keeping pressure on JPY to CAD despite uneven global risk sentiment.
  • JPY outlook remains policy-driven: With domestic rhetoric overshadowing fundamentals, near-term moves in CAD/JPY are likely to stay biased higher unless policy messaging shifts.

Economic news impacting CAD/JPY today

  • 10-Year JGB Auction

Daily trading range

CAD/JPY today is fluctuating within a recent 112.50–115.00 range and holding near the lower end of that band with a mildly defensive bias.

Get bank-beating CAD to JPY exchange rates.

Ash Abbasi

Written by

Ash Abbasi

Director of Sales
LinkedIn

Ash Abbasi is the Director of Sales at MTFX, specializing in corporate FX and cross-border payment solutions for Canadian businesses. With a background in sales leadership and account management across global markets, he helps clients optimize international transactions and manage currency risk. Ash holds a degree from Aston Business School and a postgraduate diploma from Humber College.

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