Forecast and Trends: Canadian Dollar Today

Understand global finance dynamics by tracking key players, like the euro, pound, and the Canadian dollar today, including monitoring the USD to CAD exchange rate, as they respond to the daily exchange rates, economic shifts, market sentiment, and international trade flows using a currency converter.

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Ash AbbasiWritten by Ash Abbasi

February 20, 2026

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Canadian Dollar News - CAD steady as trade data offsets rate cut bets

The USD/CAD exchange rate is holding in a narrow range as the US dollar rate today trades largely directionless, with mixed economic data keeping investors cautious ahead of key PCE inflation and GDP figures. While the Federal Reserve’s measured tone has helped the greenback stay supported, conviction remains limited as markets look for clearer signals on the pace of any future easing. This has left CAD to USD moves balanced rather than strongly trend-driven. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is steady after recent trade data showed a narrowing deficit, offering modest underlying support to the loonie. However, lingering expectations of potential BoC rate cuts are capping further upside ahead of the upcoming retail sales release. Unless incoming US or Canadian data materially shifts policy expectations, the exchange rate is likely to remain range-bound, with both sides awaiting firmer macro direction.

Today's Global Currency Highlights

A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.

  • USD: US dollar trades directionless within a tight range as mixed data keeps investors cautious, PCE inflation and GDP figures now in focus for clearer signals.
  • CAD: Canadian dollar holds steady after trade data shows a narrowing deficit, but lingering BoC rate cut bets cap further gains ahead of retail sales release.
  • EUR: Euro edges lower following mixed PMI readings that reinforce underlying softness, speculation over a potential early exit by Christine Lagarde adds pressure.
  • GBP: Sterling’s slide pauses as it rebounds slightly from weekly lows after stronger-than-expected UK retail sales and PMIs, dovish BoE expectations limit upside.
  • JPY: Yen retains a soft tone into the week’s close, drifting lower after weaker-than-expected inflation data tempers hawkish Bank of Japan expectations.
  • AUD: Aussie dollar remains range-bound near recent highs, supported by a tight labour market and rate hike bets, though a hawkish FOMC caps further advances.

CAD Daily Performance Against Global Currencies

PairRatesDailyRanges

Today's Economic Calendar

In today’s daily FX update, markets are closely aligned with the economic calendar as several high-impact releases shape near-term direction. The FX calendar highlights the US Core PCE Price Index and US GDP as the primary drivers of the US dollar today, with inflation and growth figures expected to influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy path. US New Home Sales will also offer insight into broader economic momentum. On the Canadian side, Retail Sales takes centre stage, with a stronger-than-expected print potentially lending support to the Canadian dollar today by signalling steady consumer demand. Any downside surprise, however, could reinforce caution toward the loonie. With multiple tier-one events on the daily FX agenda, volatility may pick up as traders reassess growth and inflation trends on both sides of the border.

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Canadian Dollar Daily Outlook

The latest Canadian dollar news suggests a steady but restrained outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today holding firm after trade data revealed a narrowing deficit, offering some fundamental support to the loonie. However, upside momentum remains limited as lingering expectations of potential Bank of Canada rate cuts continue to cap gains ahead of the retail sales release. At the same time, the US dollar’s directionless trade within a tight range, as investors await clearer signals from upcoming PCE inflation and GDP figures, is keeping broader FX moves contained. Unless domestic retail data significantly surprises or US macro releases shift policy expectations, the Canadian dollar rate today is likely to remain range-bound rather than break into a decisive trend.

USD/CAD Daily Update

What’s the USD/CAD rate today?
On February 20, 2026, the USD/CAD pair is trading at 1.36784, representing a -0.00% move in the last 24 hours.

USD/CAD highlights
  • USD steady as mixed data clouds direction: The US dollar trades within a tight range as conflicting economic signals keep investors cautious, leaving USD/CAD lacking strong momentum in early sessions.
  • PCE and GDP in focus for USD clarity: Upcoming PCE inflation and GDP figures are expected to provide firmer guidance on policy expectations, with any surprise likely to influence CAD to USD positioning.
  • CAD supported by improving trade balance: The Canadian dollar holds steady after data showed a narrowing trade deficit, offering underlying support and preventing USD/CAD from pushing decisively higher.
  • Retail sales and rate cut bets cap gains: Lingering expectations of potential BoC easing continue to limit upside, with traders watching retail sales closely to determine whether CAD to USD strength can extend or fade.

Economic news impacting USD/CAD today

  • US Core PCE Price Index
  • US GDP
  • US New Home Sales
  • Canada Retail Sales

Daily trading range

USD/CAD pair is fluctuating within a recent 1.3650–1.3750 range and holding near the mid-to-lower end of that band with a neutral-to-slightly softer bias.

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EUR/CAD Daily Update

What’s the EUR/CAD rate today?
On February 20, 2026, the EUR/CAD pair is trading at 1.61405, representing a 0.25% move in the last 24 hours.

EUR/CAD highlights

  • Euro softens after mixed PMI signals: The euro edges lower as uneven PMI readings reinforce lingering economic softness, keeping EUR/CAD under mild downside pressure.
  • Policy uncertainty weighs on sentiment: Speculation around a potential early exit by Christine Lagarde adds another layer of uncertainty, limiting upside attempts in CAD to EUR flows.
  • EUR/CAD vulnerable to further weakness: With growth signals mixed and leadership speculation in focus, the bias in EUR/CAD remains cautiously negative unless incoming data stabilizes sentiment.

Economic news impacting EUR/CAD today

  • CFTC EUR speculative net positions

Daily trading range

EUR/CAD today is fluctuating within a recent 1.6050–1.6200 range and holding near the lower end of that band with a mildly negative bias.

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GBP/CAD Daily Update

What’s the GBP/CAD rate today?
On February 20, 2026, the GBP/CAD pair is trading at 1.84684, representing a 0.26% move in the last 24 hours.

GBP/CAD highlights

  • Sterling rebounds from weekly lows: The pound stabilizes after stronger-than-expected UK retail sales and PMI data, helping GBP/CAD recover modestly from recent pressure.
  • Data-driven relief tempers downside: Firmer domestic figures offer short-term support in CAD to GBP flows, easing immediate selling momentum.
  • BoE outlook caps further gains: Lingering dovish Bank of England expectations continue to limit upside potential, keeping GBP/CAD biased toward cautious consolidation rather than a sustained rally.

Economic news impacting GBP/CAD today

  • CFTC GBP speculative net positions

Daily trading range

GBP/CAD is fluctuating within a recent 1.8350–1.8550 range and holding near the mid-range of that band with a neutral-to-slightly firmer bias.

Don't overpay on CAD to GBP exchange rate.

CAD/JPY Daily Update

What’s the CAD/JPY rate today?
On February 20, 2026, the CAD/JPY pair is trading at 113.24, representing a 0.00% move in the last 24 hours.

CAD/JPY highlights

  • Yen drifts lower after soft inflation data: The Japanese yen maintains a subdued tone as weaker-than-expected inflation figures dampen expectations for a more hawkish Bank of Japan stance.
  • BoJ outlook limits JPY support: Cooling price pressures reduce urgency for further policy tightening, keeping sentiment toward the yen cautious.
  • CAD/JPY steadies as divergence narrows: With BoJ tightening bets fading, CAD/JPY remains supported unless fresh Japanese data revives expectations of stronger policy action.

Economic news impacting CAD/JPY today

  • CFTC JPY speculative net positions

Daily trading range

CAD/JPY today is fluctuating within a recent 112.80–114.20 range and holding near the mid-to-upper end of that band with a modestly constructive bias.

Get bank-beating CAD to JPY exchange rates.

Ash Abbasi

Written by

Ash Abbasi

Director of Sales
LinkedIn

Ash Abbasi is the Director of Sales at MTFX, specializing in corporate FX and cross-border payment solutions for Canadian businesses. With a background in sales leadership and account management across global markets, he helps clients optimize international transactions and manage currency risk. Ash holds a degree from Aston Business School and a postgraduate diploma from Humber College.

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