USD/CAD performance is tilting modestly softer, with the US dollar rate today easing from intraday highs as investors lean further into dovish Fed expectations after jobless claims rose more than forecast. Attention now turns to upcoming consumer sentiment data for additional clarity on the outlook, keeping the exchange rate supported but lacking strong directional momentum. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is recovering part of its weekly decline on the back of a softer USD, with firmer oil prices adding an extra layer of support ahead of crucial domestic employment figures. Until labour data delivers a clearer catalyst, CAD to USD is likely to remain range-bound, guided by relative data surprises and shifts in risk sentiment.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
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In today’s daily FX spotlight, focus shifts to a busy economic calendar, with Canadian labour data taking centre stage on the FX calendar. Canada’s employment change and unemployment rate will be key for assessing whether momentum in the labour market is holding up, with a strong report potentially lending support to the Canadian dollar today, while any weakness could revive downside pressure. The Ivey PMI will add another read on domestic activity conditions. In the US, Michigan consumer sentiment will be closely watched for clues on demand and inflation expectations, shaping broader risk tone and influencing the US dollar today as markets remain highly sensitive to data-driven shifts in policy outlook.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news suggests a cautious near-term outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today extending its gradual softness as a firmer US dollar and lower oil prices weigh on sentiment. With markets still in a risk-off mood and attention turning to remarks from BoC Governor Macklem, the loonie remains sensitive to shifts in policy expectations and energy market dynamics. Unless domestic signals improve or crude prices stabilize, the Canadian dollar is likely to remain range-bound with a slightly defensive bias rather than stage a clear recovery.