The USD/CAD exchange rate is trading with a steady-to-firmer tone early in February, as the US dollar rate today finds support from calmer sentiment around Federal Reserve independence following the Kevin Warsh pick, while upcoming PMI releases are expected to shape near-term direction. This firmer USD backdrop has kept the CAD to USD rate broadly balanced rather than decisively one-sided. At the same time, the Canadian dollar rate today is edging modestly softer after November GDP stalled, with a pullback in oil prices adding pressure ahead of domestic and global PMI data. With neither side offering a clear catalyst, the exchange rate is likely to remain range-bound in the near term, sensitive to incoming growth data and energy market moves rather than breaking into a sustained trend.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention is firmly on the economic calendar, with North American manufacturing data set to guide near-term price action. Canada’s S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be closely watched for signs of momentum in factory activity, with a firmer reading offering modest support to the Canadian dollar today, while ongoing softness could reinforce a cautious tone. On the US side, both the S&P Global and ISM Manufacturing PMIs sit at the top of the FX calendar, as markets assess whether resilient activity can keep the US dollar today supported amid shifting rate expectations. With key releases clustered in a single session, FX markets are likely to remain reactive to data surprises rather than settle into a clear directional trend.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news suggests a measured and cautious outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today trading on a softer footing as markets digest weaker growth signals and a pullback in oil prices. With GDP momentum having stalled and PMIs now in focus, the loonie remains sensitive to incoming domestic data for signs of stabilization. Absent a clear improvement in activity or a rebound in energy markets, near-term price action is likely to remain constrained, leaving the Canadian dollar vulnerable to drifting rather than establishing a sustained recovery.