Forecast and Trends: Canadian Dollar Today

Understand global finance dynamics by tracking key players, like the euro, pound, and the Canadian dollar today, including monitoring the USD to CAD exchange rate, as they respond to the daily exchange rates, economic shifts, market sentiment, and international trade flows using a currency converter.

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Ash AbbasiWritten by Ash Abbasi

January 16, 2026

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Canadian Dollar News - CAD steadies on energy market lift

The USD/CAD exchange rate is trading with a softer bias as near-term momentum shifts on both sides of the border. The US dollar rate today is edging lower, though losses remain limited after recent strong data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady for now, with industrial production figures next in focus for confirmation of growth momentum. This has kept the CAD to USD rate broadly balanced rather than decisively directional. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is posting a modest rebound as crude oil prices rise following an escalation in geopolitical risks after Ukraine ramped up attacks, lending support to the loonie. With domestic housing data now in the spotlight, the exchange rate is likely to remain sensitive to energy markets and incoming data rather than breaking into a clear trend in the near term.

Today's Global Currency Highlights

A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.

  • USD: US dollar trades on a softer note, but downside remains limited after strong data bolsters Fed rate hold expectations, industrial production figures now in focus.
  • CAD: Canadian dollar posts a modest rebound as crude prices rise after Ukraine ramps up attacks, heightening geopolitical risks, domestic housing data in spotlight.
  • EUR: Euro edges higher on broad greenback weakness after EU data confirms German consumer inflation cooled to the ECB’s 2% year-on-year target in December.
  • GBP: Sterling recovers part of its weekly losses as USD momentum fades, stronger GDP figures ease market concerns around the Labour government’s budget plans.
  • JPY: Yen extends its recovery but stays confined to its recent range as focus turns to the upcoming BoJ meeting, with investors eyeing clearer policy signals.
  • AUD: Australian dollar holds steady without clear direction as inflation expectations tick lower, reinforcing the RBA’s cautious approach to monetary policy.

CAD Daily Performance Against Global Currencies

PairRatesDailyRanges

Today's Economic Calendar

In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention turns to the economic calendar, with housing and policy signals shaping market direction. Markets will watch Canada housing starts for insight into domestic construction activity, which could influence sentiment around the Canadian dollar today, particularly if the data points to resilience or renewed softness. In the US, industrial production figures will be key for assessing underlying growth momentum, while scheduled remarks from Fed officials Collins and Bowman will be closely monitored for guidance on policy timing and inflation risks, shaping expectations and sentiment around the US dollar today.

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Canadian Dollar Daily Outlook

The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautious and data-sensitive outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today struggling to gain traction as markets await clearer signals from domestic housing activity and the US policy outlook. Canada’s housing starts will be closely watched for signs of underlying economic momentum, while US industrial production and comments from Fed officials are shaping broader risk sentiment. With external drivers still dominant, the loonie is likely to trade defensively unless domestic data delivers a clear upside surprise.

USD/CAD Daily Update

What’s the USD/CAD rate today?
On January 16, 2026, the USD/CAD pair is trading at 1.38863, representing a 0.00% move in the last 24 hours.

USD/CAD highlights
  • USD gains on strong growth signals:The US dollar strengthens as firmer PPI and Retail Sales data reinforce perceptions of resilient economic momentum, giving the greenback a fresh boost.
  • Jobless claims next test for USD:With risk sentiment turning cautious, upcoming jobless claims will be key in determining whether USD strength can extend or consolidate.
  • CAD struggles as oil retreats:The Canadian dollar remains under pressure as crude prices pull back from recent highs, removing a key source of support for the loonie.
  • Rising jobless rate weighs on CAD sentiment:An uptick in Canada’s unemployment rate is adding to downside pressure, keeping the loonie vulnerable despite broader market moves.

Economic news impacting USD/CAD today

  • US Initial Jobless Claims
  • CAD Housing Starts
  • CAD Wholesale Sales
  • CAD Manufacturing Sales

Daily trading range

USD/CAD pair fluctuating within a recent 1.3850–1.4000 range and holding near the upper end of that band with a modest upward bias.

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EUR/CAD Daily Update

What’s the EUR/CAD rate today?
On January 16, 2026, the EUR/CAD pair is trading at 1.61328, representing a 0.07% move in the last 24 hours.

EUR/CAD highlights

  • Euro steadies on stronger production data:The euro finds stability after better-than-expected industrial production data offered reassurance on near-term growth, helping EUR/CAD hold steady.
  • Mixed signals cap broader EUR gains:Despite the positive data surprise, wider gains in the euro remain limited as markets continue to weigh mixed economic indicators, keeping CAD to EUR flows balanced.
  • Range-bound bias persists for EUR: With supportive data offset by lingering uncertainty, the euro is likely to trade within recent ranges.

Economic news impacting EUR/CAD today

  • CPI

Daily trading range

EUR/CAD today is fluctuating within a recent 1.6100–1.6300 range and holding near the middle of that band with a neutral bias.

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GBP/CAD Daily Update

What’s the GBP/CAD rate today?
On January 16, 2026, the GBP/CAD pair is trading at 1.86131, representing a 0.19% move in the last 24 hours.

GBP/CAD highlights

  • Sterling steadies after GDP surprise:The pound holds steady after stronger-than-expected UK GDP data helped ease immediate budget concerns, stabilising GBP/CAD.
  • Fiscal caution caps GBP upside:Despite the positive growth signal, markets remain cautious about the broader fiscal and policy outlook, limiting follow-through in CAD to GBP flows.
  • Range-bound bias persists for GBP:With optimism tempered by longer-term uncertainties, sterling is likely to trade sideways in the near term, leaving GBP/CAD sensitive to shifts in global risk sentiment rather than domestic data alone.

Economic news impacting GBP/CAD today

  • NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker

Daily trading range

GBP/CAD is fluctuating within a recent 1.8600–1.8800 range and holding near the middle of that band with a neutral bias.

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CAD/JPY Daily Update

What’s the CAD/JPY rate today?
On January 16, 2026, the CAD/JPY pair is trading at 113.882, representing a -0.23% move in the last 24 hours.

CAD/JPY highlights

  • Fragile bias persists for JPY:With political risks weighing but official caution providing a backstop, the yen is likely to trade defensively in the near term, leaving CAD/JPY sensitive to shifts in risk sentiment and policy rhetoric.
  • Yen remains pressured by political uncertainty:The yen stays under pressure as political uncertainty and speculation over an early election continue to sap investor confidence, keeping CAD/JPY supported.
  • Intervention signals help cap JPY losses:Ongoing signals from Japanese authorities around potential market intervention are helping limit deeper declines, keeping CAD to JPY moves contained despite broader weakness.

Economic news impacting CAD/JPY today

  • Industrial Production (Monday)

Daily trading range

CAD/JPY today is fluctuating within a recent 113.00–115.00 range and holding near the middle of that band with a neutral bias.

Get bank-beating CAD to JPY exchange rates.

Ash Abbasi

Written by

Ash Abbasi

Director of Sales
LinkedIn

Ash Abbasi is the Director of Sales at MTFX, specializing in corporate FX and cross-border payment solutions for Canadian businesses. With a background in sales leadership and account management across global markets, he helps clients optimize international transactions and manage currency risk. Ash holds a degree from Aston Business School and a postgraduate diploma from Humber College.

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