Forecast and Trends: Canadian Dollar Today

Understand global finance dynamics by tracking key players, like the euro, pound, and the Canadian dollar today, including monitoring the USD to CAD exchange rate, as they respond to the daily exchange rates, economic shifts, market sentiment, and international trade flows using a currency converter.

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Ash AbbasiWritten by Ash Abbasi

February 4, 2026

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Canadian Dollar News - CAD edges toward weekly lows amid firmer USD

USD/CAD performance remains subdued, with the US dollar rate today holding its ground mid-week but lacking clear directional conviction as markets largely remain on the sidelines. With ADP employment expected to show only modest job gains in January, investors are reluctant to reposition aggressively, keeping the exchange rate broadly contained rather than trend-driven. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is drifting toward weekly lows amid a firmer USD backdrop, as markets look ahead to remarks from Governor Macklem and closely watched domestic employment data later this week. Until labour figures or central bank signals provide a clearer catalyst, CAD to USD is likely to remain range-bound, guided more by relative data surprises than by a sustained shift in sentiment.

Today's Global Currency Highlights

A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.

  • USD: US dollar holds its ground mid-week but lacks directional conviction as markets stay on the sidelines, ADP employment expected to show modest gains in January.
  • CAD: Loonie drifts toward weekly lows amid a firmer USD, with remarks from Governor Macklem and upcoming employment data later this week set to shape sentiment.
  • EUR: Euro posts mild gains after inflation data matches expectations, though weaker manufacturing figures temper enthusiasm, keeping attention on the ECB stance.
  • GBP: Sterling advances against its peers on expectations that the BoE will leave interest rates unchanged on Thursday, US data remains the next key driver.
  • JPY: Yen extends its decline toward two-week lows as fiscal concerns and political uncertainty outweigh upbeat data, hawkish BoJ tilt offers limited support.
  • AUD: Aussie eases from intraday highs but stays near three-year peaks on favourable rate differentials, hawkish RBA expectations continue to provide tailwinds.

CAD Daily Performance Against Global Currencies

PairRatesDailyRanges

Today's Economic Calendar

In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention turns to a busy economic calendar, with services activity and labour data dominating the FX calendar and guiding near-term sentiment. In the US, ADP employment figures and JOLTS job openings will be closely watched for clues on labour market momentum, while the S&P Global and ISM Services PMIs will help shape expectations for growth and inflation, influencing the US dollar today. In Canada, the S&P Global Services PMI will offer insight into domestic demand conditions, with any signs of resilience lending support to the Canadian dollar today, while softer readings could reinforce a cautious tone as markets react to US-driven signals.

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Canadian Dollar Daily Outlook

The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautiously balanced outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today lacking clear momentum as markets weigh mixed domestic signals against a heavy US data backdrop. While resilient services activity or stabilizing labour conditions could offer near-term support, broader gains are likely to remain limited unless data surprises materially to the upside. For now, the loonie is expected to trade within a narrow range, reacting to incoming economic releases rather than breaking into a sustained directional move.

USD/CAD Daily Update

What’s the USD/CAD rate today?
On February 4, 2026, the USD/CAD pair is trading at 1.36769, representing a 0.30% move in the last 24 hours.

USD/CAD highlights
  • USD firm but lacks conviction mid-week: The US dollar holds its ground as markets remain on the sidelines, with limited follow-through ahead of ADP employment data expected to show modest January job gains.
  • ADP data to guide USD tone: Traders are watching the ADP release for confirmation of labour market resilience, which could influence short-term direction and broader risk sentiment.
  • CAD drifts toward weekly lows: The loonie softens against a firmer USD backdrop, with pressure building as momentum fades in the absence of strong domestic catalysts.
  • Macklem remarks and jobs data in focus: Upcoming comments from Governor Macklem and Canadian employment figures later this week will be critical in shaping near-term CAD sentiment.

Economic news impacting USD/CAD today

  • US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
  • US S&P Global Services PMI
  • US ISM Services PMI
  • Canada S&P Global Services PMI

Daily trading range

USD/CAD pair is fluctuating within a recent 1.3600–1.3750 range and holding near the lower end of that band with a mild downward bias.

Looking for the best USD/CAD exchange rate?

EUR/CAD Daily Update

What’s the EUR/CAD rate today?
On February 4, 2026, the EUR/CAD pair is trading at 1.61326, representing a 0.12% move in the last 24 hours.

EUR/CAD highlights

  • Euro edges higher after inflation data: The euro posts modest gains as inflation figures come in line with expectations, lending near-term support to EUR/CAD.
  • Weak manufacturing caps EUR upside: Softer manufacturing data is tempering enthusiasm, limiting follow-through in CAD to EUR moves despite stable inflation signals.
  • ECB stance remains key for EUR direction: With data sending mixed signals, markets remain focused on ECB guidance to determine whether EUR/CAD can extend gains or stay range-bound.

Economic news impacting EUR/CAD today

  • EU Construction PMI (Thursday)
  • Retail Sales (Thursday)
  • ECB Interest Rate Decision (Thursday)

Daily trading range

EUR/CAD today is fluctuating within a recent 1.6050–1.6250 range and holding near the middle of that band with a mildly neutral bias.

Save more on the EUR/CAD exchange rate.

GBP/CAD Daily Update

What’s the GBP/CAD rate today?
On February 4, 2026, the GBP/CAD pair is trading at 1.86581, representing a -0.09% move in the last 24 hours.

GBP/CAD highlights

  • Sterling gains on policy expectations: The pound advances against its peers as markets expect the Bank of England to leave interest rates unchanged, supporting GBP/CAD in early trade.
  • BoE outlook underpins GBP tone: Steady rate expectations are helping limit volatility in CAD to GBP moves, keeping sterling supported near recent levels.
  • US data to shape GBP follow-through: With the BoE largely priced in, upcoming US data will be key in determining whether GBP/CAD can extend gains or stalls.

Economic news impacting GBP/CAD today

  • S&P Global Construction PMI (Thursday)
  • BoE Interest Rate Decision (Thursday)

Daily trading range

GBP/CAD is fluctuating within a recent 1.8650–1.8900 range and holding near the upper-middle of that band with a mildly firm bias.

Don't overpay on CAD to GBP exchange rate.

CAD/JPY Daily Update

What’s the CAD/JPY rate today?
On February 4, 2026, the CAD/JPY pair is trading at 114.562, representing a 0.34% move in the last 24 hours.

CAD/JPY highlights

  • Yen weakens toward two-week lows: The yen extends its decline as fiscal concerns and political uncertainty continue to undermine confidence, keeping CAD/JPY supported.
  • Political and fiscal risks outweigh data: Despite some upbeat domestic data, ongoing uncertainty is limiting demand for the yen, capping upside across JPY/CAD moves.
  • BoJ hawkish tilt offers limited relief: A slightly firmer BoJ stance has so far failed to reverse sentiment, leaving near-term direction in CAD/JPY biased higher unless policy signals strengthen.

Economic news impacting CAD/JPY today

  • 30-Year JGB Auction

Daily trading range

CAD/JPY today is fluctuating within a recent 113.50–116.00 range and holding near the middle of that band with a mildly firm bias.

Get bank-beating CAD to JPY exchange rates.

Ash Abbasi

Written by

Ash Abbasi

Director of Sales
LinkedIn

Ash Abbasi is the Director of Sales at MTFX, specializing in corporate FX and cross-border payment solutions for Canadian businesses. With a background in sales leadership and account management across global markets, he helps clients optimize international transactions and manage currency risk. Ash holds a degree from Aston Business School and a postgraduate diploma from Humber College.

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