USD/CAD performance is holding in a mixed and cautious range, with the US dollar rate today trading unevenly as investors avoid large positions ahead of key durable goods and housing releases, alongside the closely watched FOMC meeting minutes. This wait-and-see stance is keeping the exchange rate supported but lacking clear directional momentum. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is paring some of its CPI-driven losses as the USD fails to extend its advance, though renewed vulnerability is emerging as markets raise expectations for potential BoC rate cuts. Until fresh US data and central bank signals provide clearer guidance, CAD to USD is likely to remain range-bound and highly reactive to shifting policy expectations.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention turns to a busy economic calendar, with Canadian inflation data taking centre stage on the FX calendar. Canada’s CPI release will be crucial for shaping expectations around the Bank of Canada’s next policy steps, with a sticky print likely to support the Canadian dollar today, while any downside surprise could soften the loonie’s tone. Wholesale sales will provide an additional read on domestic demand conditions. In the US, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index will offer an early signal on regional activity, influencing sentiment around the US dollar today as markets remain sensitive to shifting growth and inflation signals on both sides of the border.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautiously constructive outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today likely to be driven by Canada’s CPI release and broader inflation expectations. A firm or sticky inflation print could reinforce hawkish BoC pricing and help the loonie hold its underlying support, while a softer outcome may revive easing bets and cap gains. With wholesale sales adding context on domestic demand, the Canadian dollar is expected to remain range-bound but reactive, taking its near-term cue from inflation surprises and shifts in cross-border rate expectations.