The USD/CAD exchange rate is trading with a softer tone as markets digest the latest inflation signals from the US. The US dollar rate today remains under pressure after CPI data showed inflation holding steady, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates on hold for now. Attention is shifting toward upcoming US retail sales data for fresh insight into consumer demand and the durability of the current policy stance, which will be key for near-term CAD to USD direction. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is finding support from rising crude oil prices, as heightened geopolitical tensions have pushed energy markets to multi-week highs. With oil providing a clear tailwind for the loonie, the exchange rate is likely to remain sensitive to developments in energy prices and incoming US data rather than breaking decisively out of its recent range.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
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In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention turns to a busy economic calendar, with US data taking centre stage. Markets will be watching US Retail Sales, PPI, Existing Home Sales, and Business Inventories for insight into consumer demand, inflation pressures, and overall economic momentum, all of which could shape sentiment around the US dollar today. With no major domestic releases scheduled, moves in the Canadian dollar today are likely to be driven by USD dynamics and broader risk sentiment, leaving the loonie sensitive to any surprises in the US data.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautious and externally driven outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today struggling to gain traction as markets focus on a heavy slate of US data. With US retail sales, producer prices, and housing indicators in focus, USD dynamics and broader risk sentiment are likely to guide near-term CAD moves. In the absence of fresh domestic catalysts, the Canadian dollar is expected to trade defensively unless shifts in global risk appetite or US data materially alter the outlook.