USD/CAD performance is tilting modestly higher, with the US dollar rate today extending its rebound as markets anticipate CPI will show inflation easing only modestly. However, uncertainty persists over whether the Fed will maintain its policy hold, keeping the exchange rate supported but still sensitive to incoming data surprises. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is easing off weekly highs amid the gradual USD recovery, while renewed trade uncertainty remains a key overhang as the US House votes on a proposal to end tariffs on Canada. Until clearer signals emerge on inflation and trade developments, CAD to USD is likely to remain range-bound with a slightly cautious bias.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention is firmly on the economic calendar, with US CPI taking centre stage on the FX calendar as the key driver of near-term market direction. The inflation print will be critical for shaping expectations around the Fed’s next policy move, with any upside surprise likely to support the US dollar today, while softer-than-expected data could revive easing bets and pressure the greenback. For the Canadian dollar today, spillover from USD moves will remain the dominant force, keeping CAD highly sensitive to shifts in rate expectations and broader risk sentiment following the CPI release.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
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The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautious, data-dependent outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today likely to remain range-bound as markets await the US CPI release for direction. With inflation data set to drive expectations for Fed policy, the loonie’s near-term moves will depend largely on how the US dollar today reacts and whether broader risk sentiment stays supportive. Unless domestic catalysts emerge or oil prices shift sharply, the Canadian dollar is expected to drift rather than establish a sustained trend.