Forecast and Trends: Canadian Dollar Today

Understand global finance dynamics by tracking key players, like the euro, pound, and the Canadian dollar today, including monitoring the USD to CAD exchange rate, as they respond to the daily exchange rates, economic shifts, market sentiment, and international trade flows using a currency converter.

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Ash AbbasiWritten by Ash Abbasi

December 4, 2025

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Canadian Dollar News - Loonie steadies as USD sell-off cools

The US dollar rate today is stabilizing after a sharp sell-off, with disappointment in nonfarm payrolls and PMI readings prompting markets to raise Fed cut expectations ahead of this week’s additional employment indicators. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is struggling to extend its overnight rebound, holding within its familiar weekly band as diverging Fed–BoC policy paths and firmer oil prices offer a measure of support. With both currencies reacting to shifting rate expectations and softer macro signals, the CAD to USD exchange rate remains range-bound, reflecting a market hesitant to commit in either direction. Unless incoming data delivers a clearer narrative on labour trends or central bank momentum, USD/CAD is likely to continue oscillating within its current band, with CAD resilience capped but still underpinned by relative domestic stability.

Today's Global Currency Highlights

A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.

  • USD: US dollar’s sell-off steadies following nonfarm payrolls and PMIs disappointment, markets raise Fed cut bets ahead of additional employment indicators.
  • CAD: Canadian dollar’s overnight rebound loses momentum, holds within weekly band as diverging Fed–BoC policies, firmer oil prices provide support.
  • EUR: Euro climbs to fresh five-week highs as the greenback stays on the defensive, upside capped after EU retail sales data misses expectations in October.
  • GBP: Sterling extends its upward rally, reaches multi-week highs on a positive revision to November’s services PMI and broad US dollar weakness.
  • JPY: YYen's listless run ends as it finally capitalizes on USD's persistent softness, positive risk tone, and hawkish BoJ bets add further support.
  • AUD: Aussie builds on its winning streak as markets grow confident the RBA is finished with rate cuts, accelerating Fed cut bets amplify the rally.

CAD Daily Performance Against Global Currencies

PairRatesDailyRanges

Today's Economic Calendar

In today’s daily FX spotlight, traders are watching a compact but influential economic calendar, with attention split between US data and Canada’s Ivey PMI. The Canadian dollar today could find support if the Ivey PMI signals stronger domestic activity, while a softer print may leave the loonie drifting within recent ranges. On the US side, the FX calendar features initial jobless claims and factory orders, two indicators that will shape sentiment around the US dollar today by gauging labour-market resilience and manufacturing momentum. With both currencies lacking a clear driver in early trade, USD/CAD direction will hinge on whether incoming data tilts the balance toward improved risk appetite or renewed USD demand.

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Canadian Dollar Daily Outlook

The latest Canadian dollar news reflects a cautious but slightly improving tone, with the Canadian dollar rate today attempting to stabilize as traders brace for a packed slate of cross-border data. Canada’s Services PMI and labour productivity figures will offer a key read on domestic economic momentum at a time when the loonie has struggled to build sustained upside. At the same time, US releases—including ADP employment and major services PMIs, will heavily influence broader risk sentiment and shape the near-term direction of USD/CAD. A softer US data set could favour CAD by reinforcing expectations of Fed easing, while stronger US numbers may revive USD demand and limit any loonie recovery.

USD/CAD Daily Update

What’s the USD/CAD rate today?
As of December 4, 2025, the USD/CAD pair trades at 1.39737, representing a 0.17% move in the last 24 hours.

USD/CAD highlights
  • USD weakens on Fed leadership uncertainty: The US dollar comes under fresh pressure after Trump hints that WH Economic Adviser Hassett may become the next Fed chair, adding policy uncertainty and pulling USD/CAD lower in early trade.
  • ADP employment in focus for USD direction: With markets awaiting the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change for labour-market clues, CAD to USD rate remains highly sensitive to any signals that could reshape Fed rate-cut expectations.
  • CAD edges higher on broad USD softness: The Canadian dollar posts modest gains as the weaker USD provides a supportive backdrop, helping cap USD/CAD upside despite lingering caution around global risk sentiment.
  • Domestic data to steer next CAD move: Traders look to Canada’s labour productivity and Services PMI for fresh direction, leaving CAD to USD dynamics poised for further adjustment.

Economic news impacting USD/CAD today

  • US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
  • US S&P Global + ISM Services PMI
  • Canada Trade Balance
  • Canada Services PMI

Daily trading range

USD/CAD today is holding within a 1.3905–1.3968 range with a slightly bearish bias.

Looking for the best USD/CAD exchange rate?

EUR/CAD Daily Update

What’s the EUR/CAD rate today?
As of December 4, 2025, the EUR/CAD pair trades at 1.63034, representing a 0.20% move in the last 24 hours.

EUR/CAD highlights

  • Euro jumps to fresh monthly highs: The euro pushes higher after stronger-than-expected EU activity data boosts confidence in the regional outlook, lifting EUR/CAD and extending recent upside momentum.
  • Fed–ECB divergence supports EUR strength: With US rate-cut expectations rising and the ECB appearing comparatively firmer, widening policy divergence continues to favour the euro, guiding CAD to EUR rate toward EUR appreciation.
  • Upbeat data fuels sentiment but risks remain: Although the euro is benefiting from improved economic signals, traders remain mindful of lingering growth concerns, leaving EUR/CAD gains dependent on whether upcoming EU indicators can sustain the momentum.

Economic news impacting EUR/CAD today

  • ECB President Lagarde's Speech

Daily trading range

EUR/CAD today is holding within a 1.6235–1.6298 range with a slightly bullish bias.

Save more on the EUR/CAD exchange rate.

GBP/CAD Daily Update

What’s the GBP/CAD rate today?
As of December 4, 2025, the GBP/CAD pair trades at 1.86468, representing a 0.17% move in the last 24 hours.

GBP/CAD highlights

  • Sterling rises on stronger UK PMIs: The pound advances after upbeat UK services and manufacturing PMIs boost confidence in the economic outlook, lifting GBP/CAD in early trade.
  • Political signals temper GBP enthusiasm: Comments from PM Starmer expressing a preference for lower rates curb some of the GBP's upside potential, keeping CAD to GBP rate cautious as markets reassess BoE policy expectations.
  • Upside momentum remains moderate: Despite improved data, political tone and dovish policy implications cap further gains, leaving GBP/CAD momentum steady but susceptible to pullbacks if sentiment shifts.

Economic news impacting GBP/CAD today

  • BoE Mann's Speech

Daily trading range

GBP/CAD today holding within a 1.8505–1.8572 range with a neutral-to-slightly bullish bias.

Don't overpay on CAD to GBP exchange rate.

CAD/JPY Daily Update

What’s the CAD/JPY rate today?
As of December 4, 2025, the CAD/JPY pair trades at 110.71, representing a -0.48% move in the last 24 hours.

CAD/JPY highlights

  • Yen stays under pressure as yields ease: The Japanese yen remains depressed as easing JGB yields, driven by strong demand at the latest 10-year auction, keep CAD/JPY supported and limit meaningful JPY recovery.
  • Hawkish Ueda tones down deeper losses: Governor Ueda’s recent hawkish remarks help cushion the yen from steeper declines, but the impact is modest, with CAD to JPY flows still favouring CAD strength in the near term.
  • JPY sentiment remains fragile: Despite some policy-related support, broader market positioning and subdued yield dynamics continue to weigh on the yen, maintaining an upward bias in CAD/JPY unless BoJ signals strengthen materially.

Economic news impacting CAD/JPY today

  • 30-Year JGB Auction

Daily trading range

CAD/JPY today is holding within a 111.10–111.85 range with a slightly bullish bias.

Get bank-beating CAD to JPY exchange rates.

Ash Abbasi

Written by

Ash Abbasi

Director of Sales
LinkedIn

Ash Abbasi is the Director of Sales at MTFX, specializing in corporate FX and cross-border payment solutions for Canadian businesses. With a background in sales leadership and account management across global markets, he helps clients optimize international transactions and manage currency risk. Ash holds a degree from Aston Business School and a postgraduate diploma from Humber College.

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