USD/CAD performance is drifting modestly lower, with the US dollar rate today struggling to sustain hawkish Fed-inspired gains as selling pressure re-emerges amid an improved risk mood. Markets are now watching jobless claims and geopolitical developments for fresh cues, keeping the exchange rate sensitive to shifts in sentiment rather than firmly trend-driven. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rate today is firming slightly on renewed USD softness and higher crude prices, offering near-term support to the loonie. However, rising expectations of BoC rate cuts are capping upside ahead of key trade balance data, leaving CAD to USD likely to remain range-bound with a cautiously supportive bias.
A quick view of the CAD today against the USD and other major currencies.
| Pair | Rates | Daily | Ranges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
In today’s daily FX spotlight, attention turns to a busy economic calendar, with trade data and labour indicators dominating the FX calendar. Both Canada and the US will release trade balance figures, offering insight into external demand and cross-border flows that could influence the Canadian dollar today. In the US, initial jobless claims will be closely watched for fresh signals on labour market conditions, while pending home sales will provide another read on consumer and housing momentum, shaping sentiment around the US dollar today. With multiple releases clustered in one session, FX markets are likely to remain reactive to surprises rather than settle into a clear directional trend.
| date | event | actual | consensus | previous |
|---|
The latest Canadian dollar news points to a cautiously steady outlook, with the Canadian dollar rate today likely to be guided by trade balance results and broader USD-driven sentiment. A stronger Canadian trade print could offer modest support to the loonie, while any disappointment may keep gains limited, especially with BoC rate cut expectations still in the background. With US jobless claims and housing data also in focus, the Canadian dollar is expected to remain range-bound, reacting to data surprises rather than breaking into a sustained trend.